SMM Morning Comments

Category:-Metal | 04-Nov-2024 10:03 PM

Copper - LME copper opened at $9,550.5/mt last Friday, initially fluctuated slightly, and then rose to a high of $9,629.5/mt. It subsequently fell back amid fluctuations, hitting a low of $9,521/mt during the session, and finally closed at $9,539/mt, down 0.08%. Trading volume reached 18,000 lots, and open interest reached 272,000 lots. Last Friday, the most-traded SHFE copper 2412 contract opened at 76,680 yuan/mt, initially hit a high of 77,170 yuan/mt, then fell to a low of 76,350 yuan/mt during the session, and finally rebounded to close at 76,780 yuan/mt, up 0.38%. Trading volume reached 54,000 lots, and open interest reached 156,000 lots. 

Aluminum - Last Friday night, the most-traded SHFE aluminum 2412 contract opened at 20,880 yuan/mt, reaching a high of 20,905 yuan/mt and a low of 20,540 yuan/mt, and closed at 20,700 yuan/mt, down 25 yuan/mt or 0.12% from the previous close. The trading volume was 86,000 lots, and the open interest was 193,000 lots, with a daily reduction of 847 lots. Last Friday, LME aluminum opened at $2,622/mt, hit a high of $2,654/mt and a low of $2,582.5/mt, and closed at $2,603/mt, down $23/mt or 0.88%.

Lead - Last Friday, LME lead opened at $2,031.5/mt. During the Asian session, it briefly touched a low of $2,030/mt before fluctuating upward. As shorts continued to reduce positions, it reached a high of $2,070/mt in the European session. By the end of the session, LME lead jumped initially and then pulled back, closing at $2,038.5/mt, up 0.07%, recording a small positive candlestick with a long upper shadow. Last Friday night, the most-traded SHFE lead 2412 contract opened at 16,885 yuan/mt. At the beginning of the session, it briefly touched a high of 16,945 yuan/mt. As bulls reduced positions, SHFE lead plummeted to a low of 16,690 yuan/mt, finally closing at 16,760 yuan/mt, up 0.42%.

Zinc - Last Friday, LME zinc opened at $3,088/mt. Initially, with bulls increasing their positions, LME zinc fluctuated upward. Subsequently, with bears increasing their positions, LME zinc declined, hitting a low of $3,023/mt during European trading hours. Later, as bears reduced their positions, LME zinc fluctuated upward again, reaching a high of $3,088/mt during the night session. However, it lacked upward momentum and its focus fell back, ultimately closing up at $3,066/mt, an increase of $28.5/mt or 0.94%. Trading volume decreased to 12,774 lots, and open interest fell by 2,911 lots to 252,000 lots. Last Friday, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2412 contract opened at 25,030 yuan/mt. Initially, SHFE zinc briefly touched a high of 25,390 yuan/mt. Subsequently, lacking upward momentum, SHFE zinc's focus shifted downward to 24,985 yuan/mt, fluctuating and consolidating, hitting a low of 24,890 yuan/mt during the period. It ultimately closed up at 24,970 yuan/mt, an increase of 105 yuan/mt or 0.42%. Trading volume decreased to 126,000 lots, and open interest fell by 2,714 lots to 109,000 lots. 

Nickel - Last week, refined nickel prices fluctuated between 122,000-127,000 yuan/mt, slightly down compared to the previous week. During the week, the fundamental structure showed no significant changes compared to the previous week. Last week, both domestic and international macro data performed well, but due to the overall weak fundamentals of nickel, nickel prices were not boosted. By sector, the current market's main speculation point, nickel ore, saw progress in previous RKAB approvals combined with the possibility of temporary quotas being released within the year and the Philippines' continued supplementation of Indonesian nickel ore. Currently, the supply and demand of Indonesian nickel ore remain tightly balanced, alleviating the shortage. Therefore, nickel ore prices declined.


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